Billboard “One-Hit Wonder”
Modeling chart reappearance with logistic regression
- Role
- Data + Modeling
- Timeline
- Jan 2025 – May 2025
- Team
- Solo
- Tools
- RPythonSpotify APIScikit-learn
Built a 2,000+ record dataset across 50+ years of charts and modeled reappearance at 95% accuracy.
Outcome · 95% accuracy
The question
Does a one-hit wonder ever come back? I wanted to know whether an artist’s single chart appearance could predict a future one — 50 years of Billboard data, tested.
The data
Built a 2,000+ record dataset combining Wikipedia, Spotify, and Last.fm with fuzzy matching across five decades of charts.
Modeled reappearance using logistic regression at 95% classification accuracy.